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THE COMING DARK AGE
Newsletter
July, 2004

1. INTRODUCTION

This month's newsletter contains some observations on the work of Oswald Spengler and the changing character of the American presidency.

Past editions of the newsletter are at the following address: http://www.darkage.fsnet.co.uk/Newsletter.htm I welcome all comments, suggestions and contributions, especially the latter. Please forward this newsletter to anyone you think might be interested. Marc Widdowson

2. THE AGE OF CAESARISM

In his book 'Decline of the West' (German: Untergang des Abendlandes), Oswald Spengler suggested that civilisations go through four 'seasons' like the seasons of the year. They start in spring, with vigour and the seeds of greatness. They flourish in summer. In autumn they ripen, and in some ways this is their best time even though decay is already setting in. Finally, in winter they become skeletal, cold and spiritless - Spengler had in mind the mechanistic industrial civilisation that had taken shape during his lifetime (he was writing around the time of the first world war).

Spengler also wrote of 'the age of caesarism', which he believed European civilisation was entering at the beginning of the twentieth century. His model was Roman civilisation and the way that, around the time of Christ, the Roman republic had given way to the era of absolutist emperors. First there was Julius Caesar, who became too powerful as a result of his military victories, and was accused of having the ambition of turning the Roman empire into his personal property. He was stopped in his tracks when he was assassinated by a group of senators - including Julius Caesar's friend and protégé, Brutus - who believed that they were standing up for the ideals of the republic. Yet soon Julius Caesar's adopted son Augustus achieved absolute power on his own behalf, after a new round of civil wars. Augustus became the supreme and permanent ruler of the empire (like an African 'president-for-life') even though he was careful never to say explicitly that that was what had happened.

In the days of the republic, the citizens of Rome had been a noble group of equals. But with the advent of Augustus and his successors, they had become the slaves, or subjects, of an all-powerful autocrat. Spengler felt that western civilisation was undergoing the same transformation, and indeed the first few decades of the twentieth century were characterised by the dismantling of democracy, and the rise of fascism and dictatorship in numerous western countries. (For an excellent discussion of this process, see Mark Mazower's book "Dark Continent").

On the other hand, the dictatorships of the early twentieth century collapsed after not so many decades. Some of the last to hold out were Franco's Spain, and the neo-Tsarist Soviet Empire, but they too disappeared in the mid-70s and early 90s respectively. The idea of democracy, seemingly, was restored.

In the light of Spengler's thesis, developments in the United States are now very provocative. Those who study conspiracy websites will be familiar with such propositions as that the last American election was (partially) rigged and that electronic voting machines, of a highly dubious nature, are being introduced in order to ensure that future elections may be rigged even more effectively. There is also the idea that manufactured terrorist threats may be used to shut down the elections, or at least to frighten people into voting 'the right way'. In short, many people believe that President Bush would like to be the dictator of the United States and that he is surreptitiously working to achieve that goal. But it is not just President Bush. President Clinton had already tried to overturn the rule that prevents presidents from standing for a third term.

President Bush also likes to present himself as a warrior, as seen in the incident when he flew a fighter plane onto the deck of the American aircraft carrier USS Lincoln to declare 'mission accomplished' over the recent Iraq war. Presidential candidate John Kerry is also tuning in to the spirit of the age by boasting about his own soldierly credentials and promising that he will enthusiastically lead the United States in its new agenda of foreign conquest. This contrasts with presidents like Kennedy, Nixon and Carter, who might have been US commanders in chief and sponsored military actions (e.g. Bay of Pigs, Vietnam, Iran hostage rescue), but who did not seem to wallow in militarism.

It will be interesting therefore to see how the US presidency evolves over the next few decades. It is possible that Spengler may be proved right after all, and the presidents will turn into quasi-hereditary autocrats with the process of democratic election being a sham at best. History after all does not go smoothly always in one direction. The dictatorships of the earlier twentieth century may have disappeared, but that does not mean that dictatorship has been vanquished once and for all. It can always come back. Fifty years before Julius Caesar, Rome had already been subjected to the dictator Sulla. His reign lasted only a short while, and initially seemed to be just an aberration. Yet in hindsight it could be seen as a trial run for the ascendancy of Julius Caesar, which was itself a trial run for the more far-reaching absolutism of Augustus Caesar. In the same way, perhaps the Hitlers, Stalins and Mussolinis of the last century were merely a trial run for the much powerful dictators who will be seizing control during this one.



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